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The Real Scoop on Annuities - Part One
by
Steve Selengut
Insurance companies have always been big time financial institutions,
and they could probably have claimed possession of the largest and
safest investment portfolios on the planet. At one time, their role
vis-à-vis Wall Street was clearly that of a giant customer for the
securities the investment banks brought to market and which the
securities firms distributed. Their real estate holdings were religious
in size and quality. They were direct lenders to corporations, their
owner-policyholders, and to other institutions. They were the Trustees
who managed the private employee pension plans of the world.
Insurance companies sold life insurance policies and annuity contracts
that contained guaranteed benefits that depended on their ability to
invest safely and soundly. They sold investment management services that
built upon their legendary reputation as an industry built upon
guarantees, trust, and the financial integrity of their investment
portfolios. They were not known for the production of unusually high
rates of return, but they were one of only three entities allowed to
utter the sacred g-word, and the only one that marketed products that
protected people from the financial vagaries of life and death. It was a
simpler world then, one less prone to the conflicts of interest,
scandals, and financial disruptions that exist on the modern Wall
Street. Today, it's difficult to distinguish one financial institution
from another as they compete for the ever-growing pool of investment
dollars. Insurance companies, now publicly owned, have become am
integral part of an industry that seems uninterested in protecting
anything other than their obscenely paid leaders.
The time-honored distinction of the annuity contract was the guaranteed
retirement benefit it provided. The "you will never outlive your income"
boast could not be uttered by any other financial entity! The annuity
contract itself was never intended to be an investment product, although
the disciplined savings of the deferred variety was certainly given
well-deserved emphasis. This was the original old age and disability
retirement program--- a contributory, but trustee directed, investment
account that anyone could have for a few bucks a week. Like bank savings
accounts and federal government securities, risk of loss was not a
factor, and the guarantee was a benefit well worth the lower than market
yield. Over a hundred years, the concept became generic: Annuity =
Guarantee--- safe, solid, and virtually risk free. Equities were nowhere
to be seen; derivatives had yet to come of age; neither seemed
necessary. The guarantee was enough--- it still is, but annuities are
best suited to the healthy poor.
Annuities were developed for the protection of the indigent--- people
without the assets needed to generate enough income to sustain them in
retirement. An annuity is a series of identical payments made over a
specific period of time. Any departure from a plain vanilla, one-life,
annuity reduces the payout because of additional time, cash back, or
life contingencies. In its purist form, a fixed amount is paid to the
annuitant until his or her death. Any leftover funds belong to the
company, and the company continues to pay those who live longer than
predicted by the actuarial tables--- a simple concept, actuarially pure,
easy to deal with, and with no surprises (until the government decreed
that men are required to live as long as women).
Annuitants would never outlive their income, but absolutely nothing
would be passed on to their heirs; a dismal prospect for the kids, but a
valuable benefit for the retiree. The annuity was a last resort scenario
for those who didn't have the financial resources to support themselves.
I don't know about you, but this sure sounds like a great way to fund a
Social Security program! The companies make enough money on the plain
vanilla variety to pay their salespeople between 8% and 12%. Typically,
they lock-up the money for eight to twelve years with large penalties
and pocket most of the additional income that their actual investment
and expense experience produces--- but for those who can't fund their
own retirements, this is entirely acceptable. A mandatory, fixed annuity
based Social Security really needs to be considered to replace the
counter-productive system in effect today--- there would be no need for
the commissions.
Enter the modern day Variable Annuity oxymoron, sold by an industry that
has lost touch with its noble roots, if not the realities of the stock
market. The sales pitch emphasizes the prospect of gains in the market
rather than the safety and security of the contract. Hundreds of
insurance-annuity companies have rushed in to sell their Mutual Funds to
unsuspecting retirees, in the form of a
much-more-speculative-than-meets-the-eye retirement program. In it's
zeal to claim its share of the investment dollar, the industry has
rationalized away the risk of equity investments. Financial Planning
computer models are programmed to include variable annuities in their
asset allocations, shifting the retirement income risk to the consumer.
And it's such an easy sell because what the customer hears is: a
guaranteed retirement income plus stock market appreciation.
Unfortunately, the stock market never has been able to generate
guaranteed levels of income, and sometimes fails to move higher just
because we think it should. Serious problems occur when mutual funds are
packaged with annuity contracts and the critical differences between
them are either overlooked or undisclosed, perhaps innocently, perhaps
not. The founding fathers of the annuity contract would not be pleased
with today's glitzy versions. Let's back up a century and consider some
basics. Just who needs an annuity anyway?
Keep in mind that the annuity produces the largest possible commissions
for the salesperson and the largest potential penalties for the
purchaser. The variable variety adds the commissions from the mutual
funds to the package, and uncertainty to the income benefit. Here's how
to determine if an annuity makes sense economically. Is it clear that
there is no such thing as a guaranteed variable annuity? The key
suitability numbers are easy to develop and to analyze.
The most important number in the equation is your personal expense
estimate. How much income is needed at retirement? Always estimate
conservatively (that means to use numbers higher than you really
expect). If you need a calculator, you're making it too difficult. Let's
pretend that the number you decide upon is $48,000, or $4,000 per month.
Next, subtract the amount of any guaranteed income you expect to receive
from all sources, including social security, pensions, etc. Do not
include the value of your investments or properties you plan to sell in
this calculation. Again, be conservative, keeping your estimate a bit
lower than what you actually expect, and make sure you know why
investment earnings should not be included. Let's say that this number
works out to be $27,000.
That's it. Now all you have to do is to determine if the investment
portfolio can safely generate the difference of $21,000 per year in
income (dividends and interest only, please). For the purposes of this
analysis, the current market value of the portfolio is used, so make
sure that you include the value of everything that is marketable. At
today's interest rates you could get the job done safely with under
$300,000 but not with normal equity mutual funds or any form of Index
Fund. It is totally irresponsible (actually, its worse than that) to
rely on equities to provide retirement income. BUT, if the numbers are
just short, and (a) a "windfall" (inheritance) is anticipated within a
few years, or (b) the retiree is in poor health, an annuity is the last
thing that should be considered! You should be able to invest the money
conservatively, generate adequate income and have an estate left over
for the heirs! Remember to satisfy the income need before looking at
equities. There are no exceptions!
So here we have a last resort product, designed for the poor, that the
industry has chrome plated, spit-polished, and supercharged for
marketing to people who should know better than to include equities in
an income portfolio. Why? Is it because financial pros really think
these products are universally suitable? Is it the commissions? Or is
RISK just a board game that they played in college?
Steve Selengut
800-245-0494
http://www.sancoservices.com
http://www.investmentmanagementbooks.com
Professional Portfolio Management since 1979
Author of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that
Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read", and "A Millionaire's Secret
Investment Strategy"
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Last modified:
April 05, 2008
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