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Asset Allocation: Investing by the Numbers
by
Steve Selengut
Uno. Asset Allocation is an investment planning tool, not an investment
strategy... few investment professionals understand the distinction.
Investment strategies are used to implement the asset allocation formula
that investment planning produces. Many investors incorrectly believe
that investment planning and financial planning are one and the same.
Financial planning is the broader concept, one that involves such
non-investment considerations as: Wills and Estates, insurances,
budgeting, trusts, etc. Investment Planning takes place within the
Trusts, Endowments, IRAs, and other Brokerage Accounts that come into
existence as a result of, or without, Financial Planning.
Zwei. Asset Allocation is a planning tool that allows the investor to
structure his or her investment portfolios in a manner most likely to
accomplish the goals established for each portfolio and for the
investment program as a whole. It is the process of planning how the
portfolio is to be divided between the two broad classes of investment
securities: Equities and Income. Security sub-classes have little
relevance, and should be avoided. K.I.S.S.
Tres. Equities are the riskier of the two classes of securities, but not
because of the price fluctuations that are their basic character trait.
They are riskier because they represent ownership in a business
enterprise that could fail. The risk of capital loss can be moderated or
minimized in the security selection process and with a management
control activity called diversification. The primary purpose for buying
Equities is to sell them for capital gains, not to save them as trophies
to brag about in chat rooms. But, they can be screened and selected in a
manner that can make them less risky than other, non-fixed income,
investments and speculations.
Shi. Income securities are less risky than equity securities because
they represent debt of the issuing entity, and owners of debt securities
have a "superior" claim on the assets of the issuer. Stockholders have
to rely on their salivating class-action attorneys to mitigate their
losses if the company fails. With proper selection criteria and
diversification, the risk of capital loss is negligible and price
fluctuations can be mostly ignored except for the trading opportunities
that they provide. The primary purpose of these securities is income
generation, either for current consumption or for use later in life.
Capital gains here should be taken... and bragged about in those chat
rooms.
Cinque. An Asset Allocation Formula is a long-range, semi-permanent,
planning decision that has absolutely nothing to do with market timing
or hedging of any kind. It is designed to produce the combination of
Capital Growth and Income that will achieve the long-range personal (pay
those bills) goals of the individual. Thus, it must not be tinkered with
because of expectations about anything, or rebalanced arbitrarily
because of natural changes in the market values of one asset class or
the other. An asset allocation mutual fund is an oxymoron.
Hat. Asset Allocation is the only proven cure for inflation. If properly
managed using The Working Capital Model, it will almost certainly
increase the level of portfolio income by more than the rate of
inflation, which is a measure of the purchasing power of your dollars,
not the dollar value of your purchased securities. Any 100%-equity
investment portfolio, regardless of size, is less inflation proof than
any same-size, more balanced, portfolio. This is because the income on
equities, and the capital gains that they may produce, are not
contractual, and too often ignored when they do make an appearance..
Sju. In addition to the potential of failing to keep up with inflation
using an Equity Only asset allocation, regardless of your age, greed
management becomes much more of a problem. In a rising market, evidenced
by the presence of more profit taking opportunities than lower priced
bargains, investors tend to take positions in lower quality issues,
current story stocks, newer issues, etc... just to be in there. A 30% or
so Fixed Income allocation can be a major focus factor, and it will keep
the base income line moving upward.
Tam. Many investors, and even a large number of Investment
Professionals, think that income securities have some claim to price
stability in addition to their role in providing present or future
disposable income. They just don't, and their prices may fluctuate in
either direction in anticipation of changes in expectations about the
direction of interest rates.
Isishiyagalolunye. If you focus exclusively on market value, dwell upon
comparisons of your unique portfolio with the market averages, expect
performance of some kind during specific time intervals, and listen
intently when someone speaks about the future, any asset allocation work
you do will be ineffective.
Desyat. Cash is not an investment and, therefore, is not a class of
assets within an asset allocation model. Most entities that include cash
or money market balances in their portfolio mix are using it as a hedge
against market movements in one direction or the other... in the future.
This is a market-timing effort that has no place in asset allocation
planning or thinking. Asset allocation transcends both short-term market
trends and long-term market cycles.
Note: The 2nd Edition of "Brainwashing" is here!
Steve Selengut
800-245-0494
http://www.sancoservices.com
http://www.investmentmanagementbooks.com
Professional Portfolio Management since 1979
Author of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that
Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read", and "A Millionaire's Secret
Investment Strategy"
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Last modified:
April 05, 2008
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