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Stock and Bond Trading Powers Modern Asset Allocation
by
Steve Selengut
For most individual investors, trading is approached in a totally
speculative manner. Stock trading, in its more popular forms (Day
Trading, Swing Trading, etc.) includes none of the elements that a
conservative investment strategy would contain: little if any
attention is given to the Quality of the equities selected;
Diversification is determined by chance alone; no attempt is made to
develop an increasing and dependable stream of Income. But stock
trading by individual investors doesn't deserve quite as bad a "rep"
as it has earned. After all, its very foundation is profit taking,
probably the most important and most often neglected of the
activities required for successful investment management.
Unfortunately for most equity traders, loss taking is a more common
occurrence.
Bond, and other income security trading is generally avoided by most
non-professionals. Obviously, it takes more investment capital to
establish positions in corporate and municipal bonds, real estate,
and government securities than it does in equities, and the
volatility that traders thrive upon is just not a standard feature
of the mundane world of income investing. Surprisingly, most
investment professionals avoid a more exciting approach to income
investing that is actually safer for investors and less inflexible
in the face of changing interest rate expectations. Certainly, Wall
Street financial institutions pressure their representatives to push
individual new issues and/or investment products, but I think that
the market value fixation that stretches from Wall Street to Main
Street is the real culprit. Income securities need to be assigned a
value that recognizes the safety of their income production and
market value changes should only to be viewed as opportunities for
increasing yield or taking rare, but wonderful, profits.
Consequently, most trading is done in an equity only environment
that is too speculative for most mature (in whatever sense you
choose) investors. But this is not the way it needs to be. Since
stock prices are likely to remain volatile in the short run and
cyclical in the long run, there will always be opportunities for
profit taking. Similarly, there are no rules against taking
advantage of the cyclical nature of interest-rate-sensitive security
prices. Trading is the world's oldest form of commercial activity,
and it is unfortunate that it is treated with such disrespect by our
dysfunctional tax code. It is even more unfortunate that it is
looked at askance by client attorneys and brokerage firm compliance
officers... masters of hindsight that they are.
Trading does not have to be done quickly to be productive, and it
doesn't have to focus on higher risk securities to be profitable.
And perhaps most importantly, it doesn't have to avoid the
interest-rate-sensitive income securities that are so important to
the long-term success of any true investment portfolio. Once a
trader/speculator is weaned off the gambling mentality that brought
him to the shock market in the first place, he can apply his trading
skills to investing and to portfolio management. The transition from
trader/speculator to trader/investor requires some education...
education that generally cannot be obtained from product
salespersons.
Step one is to gain an appreciation of the power of Asset
Allocation. Asset Allocation is the process of dividing the
portfolio into two conceptual securities buckets. The primary
purpose of the equity bucket is to produce growth in the form of
realized capital gains. The other bucket contains securities whose
primary purpose is to produce some form of regular income...
dividends, interest, rents, royalties, etc. The percentage allocated
to each is a function of a short list of personal facts, concerns,
goals, and objectives. The cost basis of the securities must be used
in all asset allocation calculations. Asset allocation itself is a
portfolio planning exercise that is based on the purpose of the
securities to be purchased, and long term in nature. It should not
be "rebalanced" or altered due to current market conditions or
suppositions about the future.
Market values are used in the selection process that identifies
potential trading candidates and as the trigger mechanism for profit
taking decisions. Cash from all income sources is always destined
for one bucket or the other, depending on the cost-based asset
allocation formula. Selecting equities must first be fundamental,
then technical... quality first, and market price second. My trading
experience is that higher quality companies purchased at a 20% or
more discount from the 52-week high, with a profit target of
approximately 10%, is a very manageable approach. The proceeds find
their way back into the "smart cash" pot for asset allocation
according to formula. There will be times when smart cash will grow
quickly while the list of new trading candidates shrinks, but when
trading candidates are all over the place, smart cash can only be
replenished with income produced by both securities buckets. Thus,
insistence upon some form of income from all securities owned makes
enormous sense.
What about trading the income bucket securities? Enter the managed
closed-end income fund (CEF), as tradable as any common stock, and
in a surprising variety of income producing specialties ranging from
preferred stocks to royalty trusts, treasuries to municipals, and
REITs to mortgages. No more worries about liquidity and hidden
markups. No more cash flow positioning or laddering of maturities.
And best of all, no more calls of your highest yielding paper when
interest rates fall. Instead, you are taking capital gains,
compounding your yield, and paying your dues to the equity bucket
with every transaction. And when interest rates move back up...
you'll have the luxury of reducing your cost basis by adding
additional shares. Of course its magic... that's what we do here on
Wall Street!
NOTICE: Investment Reference does not recommend
or endorse any products, brokerage firms, CTAs, CPOs or representatives. All
material contained in any article is only the opinion of the person authoring the
article. Investment reference will publish any article submitted as a way of
offering a public forum and a means of exchanges of views and ideas. Investment
Reference also reserves the right to make the final decision on what to publish, and will
not publish anything that it considers offensive, slanderous, or fraudulent.
Investment Reference cannot and will not be held responsible for any information or
content in any articles except those which it authors itself.
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THERE IS RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING
FUTURES... LOTS OF IT!!
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Copyright 1995 /2008 Investment Reference
Last modified:
April 05, 2008
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