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1.
Very important and useful forms and letters for
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May the Investment
Force Be With You
by
Steve Selengut
Investment markets got you down, Bunkie? Been blown away by
derivative stun guns? When will portfolio market values move back
to 2007 levels--- and then what will you do about it?
It's time to overthrow the evil Masters of the Universe and
deactivate their weapons of financial destruction. Let's outlaw the
brainwashing that has changed how average investors look at and
value their investment portfolios.
It's time to exorcize the Wall Street demons and return to stocks
and bonds--- and to QDI, "the Force" for long-term investment
portfolio security.
Speculating is complicated, even for financial rocket scientists.
What most of us want (or would certainly settle for) is simplicity,
stability, and reasonable growth in our productive working capital.
A return to plain vanilla investing strategies with operating
procedures that minimize risk and encourage understanding of the
financial markets needs to become part of our financial force field.
As bad as things have been since this black hole appeared,
investment models true to fundamental concepts, simple strategies,
and disciplined operating rules have probably bettered the market
numbers in at least six important ways:
One - Higher lows during market downturns: Equity portfolios managed
using basic principles of quality, diversification, and income (the
QDI) and disciplined profit taking rules should not fall as much in
market value as most mutual funds or poorly diversified portfolios.
Constant cash flow, even if not reinvested, places a floor under
market values, and investors feel better when their values fall less
than the market averages. In soundly managed programs, buying
activity slows as prices rise--- increasing "smart cash" for buying
at lower levels later.
Two - Moves to cash or other sectors before bubbles burst:
Disciplined profit taking automatically moves dollars from
overheated sectors to cash or undervalued sectors during rising
markets. This process creates capital that can be used to lower the
average cost of remaining positions or to take advantage of new
opportunities.
Investors feel better when no profits have been left on the table.
Three - Maintenance of planned income streams during financial
crises: Most financial plans focus so strongly on growing market
values that they lose touch with the need for planning a dependable
retirement income. They rely on selling equity fund units or
inflated indices for cash flow, instead of generating stable income
with less exciting cash producing staples.
Steadily increasing annual income can be placed on "cruise control"
through the use of the cost basis asset allocation methods contained
in the WCM (Working Capital Model). How many would-be retirees are
searching for jobs because of improper income planning?
Four - Faster movement to new all time market value highs: When
investors have a reasonable understanding of the various cycles
impacting their investment portfolios, they develop valid
expectations about the market value "performance" of their
portfolios.
They are less likely to initiate knee-jerk or panic driven
transactions and more likely to take advantage of the new
opportunities that lower security prices always create.
Additionally, higher quality securities invariably are in the first
group to regain popularity with investors as good news reports begin
to dominate.
Five - Steady growth in working capital in all market environments:
Working capital is measured in terms of cost basis instead of market
price. As a result, all income generated from interest, dividends,
and realized gains grow working capital regardless of the direction
of market prices.
A treasury bond generates the same income at $85 as at $115. Most
closed-end municipal bond funds (CEFs) maintained their 5% to 7%
tax-free cash flow throughout the financial crisis--- in spite of
their reduced market values. Similarly, short-term profits on high
quality securities have been growing working capital since the
current rally took hold in March.
Six - Annual growth in realized "base income" in standard
portfolios: WCM portfolios are income machines by design. No
security is ever purchased if it does not produce regular dividend
or interest payments; at least 30% of all base income should be
reallocated to income-objective securities.
Similarly, every dollar of capital gains income, and net portfolio
additions are partially allocated to income producers--- and the use
of a cost based asset allocation formula insures annual income
growth.
Few financial professionals begin their careers with any
encouragement to become comfortable with individual equity
securities and the surprisingly large variety of individual,
relatively uncomplicated, and generally safe(r) income producers
available for their clients.
Financial products are far more lucrative for their institutional
employers and, as a result, the incentives for brokers and advisors
to sell products is pretty much irresistible. Few pros can afford to
be one with "The Force".
The Dark Side of investing beckons like a Siren's song, luring the
majority of professional advisors away from the safety and
simplicity of QDI. Institutional propaganda, projections,
predictions, and hype have the same affect on unsuspecting boatloads
of speculators who most often become shipwrecked on the derivative
rocks.
Investors and their professionals need to re-evaluate their product
orientation and plot a global escape from the Dark Side of
investing.
Contact the "Skywalker" foundation for emotional and financial
support while making the transition--- and may the force be with
you.
Steve Selengut
http://www.sancoservices.com
http://www.valuestockbuylistprogram.com Professional Portfolio Management since 1979
Author of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that
Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read", and "A Millionaire's Secret
Investment Strategy"
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Last modified:
January 01, 2010
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