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Golf and Investing: Optimism, Focus, and Education
by
Steve Selengut
You knew it the moment it left the club, that spark at contact when
you catch it just right. You look up. It's just reaching the top of
its climb--- and heading down right at the pin, a pin positioned
left of center on the elevated green, much too close to the water.
This could be the one! Four mouths hang open, not a sound. Then
whack, the ball strikes low on the stick and disappears; the pin
wobbles; the ball is nowhere to be seen---
Moe and Curley are certain it dropped into the hole as they hurry
their tee shots and rush to their cart. "My buddy Stan holed out
like that at Disney a few years ago", you hear, as they search the
cooler for four cold brewskis.
Larry isn't ready to slap you on the back yet. "With my luck", he
says, "the ball would go dead left, down the hill and into the
water". He calmly puts his tee shot on the green, far to the right
of the pin--- about where you were really aiming. What are your
expectations? What scenario fits your game today?
If it weren't for optimism, few of us would continue to be golfers.
The perfectly struck ball can encounter a myriad of obstacles on its
way to your target. Experienced golfers expect some adversity, even
when they are playing well. For most of us, it only takes one or two
good shots to keep us coming back.
High handicappers shout "golfshot"--- as one word, when they think
one of those has occurred.
Similarly, if not for optimism, few investors would have the courage
to take advantage of the hundreds of opportunities that are created
every time the financial markets hit the wall and tumble down Canal
Street into the Hudson.
Are you headed for an ace or a double bogey, a nice solid profit or
another disappointment? The decisions we make at the highs and lows
of our experience are the most significant, always. Were you selling
or buying six months ago--- eighteen months ago?
Just as Moe and Curley are certain the ball is in the cup as they
rush to the green, many independent financial pros were certain that
the markets would rebound throughout what seemed like twenty rounds
without a single par.
After months of hazards, tree roots, hardpan, lip outs, and high
winds in their faces, investors are experiencing a string of "gimmie"
birdies--- in the form of a robust rally. Once again, Investment
Grade Value Stocks and income producing closed end funds are leading
the way.
Were you selling or buying six months ago--- eighteen months ago?
Being optimistic is critical for long-term investment success. When
things don't seem to be just right, ratcheting-up your focus on
basic principles, fundamentals, and the cyclical realities of the
playing field is the type of practice session that gets those
security (and club) selections back on track.
Optimism needs to be controlled or it morphs into speculation--- and
speculation breeds both losses and snowmen. Most investors miss the
early hours of the new party because their gurus don't think it will
be much fun. Eventually, market cycles repeat; with practice, so
will your swing. Don't forget to leave the party before midnight,
pumpkin.
Remaining focused on the QDI rules you've developed for your
investment program, and the few swing thoughts that fine-tune your
pre-shot routine, bridles the optimism and allows you to focus on
the major hazards that could keep you from goal achievement.
In both golf and investing, too much thinking about too many inputs
from too many experts is as bad for the game plan as simply doing
the things that haven't worked over and over again.
The key to attaining and maintaining a satisfying skill level is to
understand what it is that you should practice. You're not going to
three-putt less often by complaining about it. Find someone who
rarely three-putts and ask for help. Focus on how things work, and
you'll formulate more accurate expectations.
It's easier and less expensive for golfers to practice than for
investors and there's a whole lot less at stake, financially. But
practice means more than loosening up on the range and stroking a
few putts before moving on to the "breakfast ball" or "Mulligan"
that often describes your opening tee shot.
Practice means addressing the problem areas of your last effort
before the next one. You need to be confident that you have it right
so you can focus on the new challenges of today's pin placements.
Investment practice sessions are different, and I've learned that
investors are more stubborn, lazy, impatient, and fickle than
golfers. Both crave shortcuts to success and gadgets that will
instantly improve their performance. But few investors are able to
bring their focused course management skills to the long-term
financial playing field.
Golfers will spend thousands on instruction, gadgets, machines,
clinics, magazines, lessons, drivers, and putters. Investors love
the gimmicks, shortcuts, and expert recommendations, but they seem
allergic to anything really educational. They must see it as a sign
of weakness.
Golfers should be better investors. Investors need to introduce
themselves to some basic education.
Hello ball!
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Last modified:
January 01, 2010
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