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IGVSI Bargain Stock
Monitor - February 2010
by
Steve Selengut
The Investment Grade Value Stock Index "Bargain Stock Monitor" clearly
reflects the profit taking that hit the market late in January--- you
and I have been harvesting our gains all along though. Right?
Although there are nearly twice as many IGV stocks 15% below 52-week
highs as there were at year-end, there is no evidence that a new
correction has commenced--- tune in again in March or April.
The numbers are telling you that most Investment Grade Value Stocks are
still well above bargain price levels, and no matter how much "smart
cash" has accumulated in your portfolio, it's not necessary to re-load
your portfolios with new stuff all at once. Like apples, one a day is
just fine.
Most Market Cycle Investment Management (MCIM) Program portfolios are
still a hiccup or two below the all time high profit levels achieved in
2007, but those with larger income allocations are generally well above
those levels.
So, aren't you glad you've been taking profits and positioning yourself
to take advantage of the new bargains sauntering down the runway? Take
your time. Always start new positions slowly while you continue to take
profits instantly.
The Bargain Stock Monitor is reporting a slight dip in Investment Grade
Value Stock market values, but it is predicting nothing. What matters
now is what you do with the paper profits that remain in your portfolio.
You should always "beat" your index!
If you have not, or have not taken profits, one or more of these things
has happened:
* You were greedy and reset your profit taking targets higher than 10%.
* You didn't have profit taking opportunities because you failed to take
advantage of hysterically lower prices over the past two years.
* You didn't have profits because you were unable to add to your
portfolio when prices were lower
* You didn't want to be burdened with short-term capital gains.
* You thought that the rally would last forever.
Yes, we are still in a rally, and the longer that we experience slow
improvement over longer than monthly analytical periods; the less likely
it is that the next correction will be as devastating as the last. But
there absolutely will be another correction, and remember---
An ex-NFC team is certain to win the Super Bowl!
For your information, the Bargain Stock Monitor is one of three market
statistics used as performance expectation analyzers in Market Cycle
Investment Management portfolios. Search Investment Grade Value Stock
Index for current data.
A "WCM friendly" watchlist program identifies specific IGVSI companies
trading at least 20% below the 52-week high water mark, and that also
meet the price selection criteria outlined in The Brainwashing of the
American Investor: The Book that Wall Street does not want YOU to read.
The fewer IGVSI stocks at bargain prices, the stronger the market and
the more "smart cash" that should be building up in investment
portfolios. As the list of bargain stocks grows, portfolio smart cash
should be finding its way back into undervalued securities.
The other numbers used for MCIM portfolio performance evaluation are:
The Investment Grade Value Stock Index itself (The IGVSI), IGVSI Issue
Breadth, and new 52-week High vs. new 52-week Low numbers.
Steve Selengut
http://www.valuestockindex.com
Professional Portfolio Management since 1979
Author of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that
Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read", and "A Millionaire's Secret
Investment Strategy"
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Last modified:
February 01, 2010
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