|



From the Founder
Anti-Money Laundering
Forex Information
Excellence Award
Tips for healthy trading
FAQs (email)
Articles
Series Three Info
CTA and CPO info
NFA style Field Audits
IB & Branch setup
Consulting
Career Placement
Privacy Policy

Award page
Items you need to improve and protect your FCM or IB...
1.
Very important and useful forms and letters for
different applications for the FCM and the Introducing Broker. Visit our
"forms" page.
|
Income Investing: Go Ask Alice
by
Steve Selengut
Jefferson Airplane has never, ever, been mistaken for a band of
financial advisors, but the White Rabbit lyrics can be incredibly
instructional to the generation of investors who experienced the
classic first hand--- as a description of their own college days'
lifestyle. If only they had heeded the dormouse's call to "feed your
head." For the sake of your retirement sanity and security, you just
have to make income investing an intellectual exercise--- not an
emotional one.
The Brainwashing of the American Investor has its own tale of an
Alice whose "logic and proportion" had "fallen sloppy dead". Many
years ago, when interest rates soared into double digits, elderly
Alice was well advised to invest her stash in a portfolio of Ginnie
Maes. Smiling broadly, she bragged to her friends about the
federally guaranteed 13% interest she was receiving in regular
monthly intervals--- much more than she needed to cover her living
expenses.
But interest rates continued to move higher, and the decreasing
market value of her Ginnie Maes was more than she could tolerate.
"If rates continue to go up, I'll have nothing left" she cried to
her White Knight financial advisor who suggested patience and
understanding. The very same pill that made her income grow larger
was also making her market value become smaller. But the income kept
rolling in, higher yielding unit trusts were purchased with the
excess, and major redemptions were nowhere to be seen. The income
kept growing, the market value kept shrinking, and Alice was seeing
red from seeing red on her account statements.
So Alice went to her local bank and traded in her absolutely
government guaranteed 13 per centers for some laddered,
non-negotiable, 8.5% CDs. "No more erosion of my nest egg", she
toasted proudly with the hookah smoking bank caterpillar who
orchestrated her move to lower income levels. Within a few months,
she was liquidating CDs to pay the bills that never seemed to be a
problem with those terrible Ginnie Maes.
Don't let such uniformed thinking sabotage your retirement program;
don't let the selfish advice of a product sharpshooter send you
chasing rabbits when IRE (interest rate expectations) or other
temporary market conditions shrink the market value of your income
portfolio. Feed your head; feed---your---head. Income pays the
bills, and if the income level is both steady and adequate, there is
no need to change investments. Market value should be used to
determine when to buy more (at lower prices) and when to take
profits (at higher ones). It is almost never necessary to take a
loss on a high quality (government guaranteed in Alice's case)
income security.
More recent experimenters in much more sophisticated potions have
addressed the issue with similar results, reaching mind-numbing
conclusions such as these: 1) I know that my income has actually
grown throughout the debacle in the financial sector but I don't
want to buy anymore of these securities until the prices go back
above what I paid for them originally. Translation: I'd rather stick
with my 4.5% tax-free yield than increase it by adding to my
positions at lower prices.
2) Sure, I understand the relationship between IRE and the prices of
income CEFs but individual bonds and Treasuries haven't suffered
nearly as much. That's where we should have been. Translation: I
would be much happier with 3% stability than with an 8% rate of
realized spending money. 3) I'm tired of seeing all the negative
positions in my portfolio. Let's keep all the income we receive in
money market until we're back in positive territory. Translation:
I'd rather accept 1.5% or so than reduce my cost basis and compound
my yield by adding to my positions at lower prices.
Modern brokerage firm monthly statement "pills" were developed
during the dot-com drug era, when Wall Street was trying to
emphasize the brilliance of its speculative prescriptions by making
us all feel ten feet tall, month after month after month---. But the
geniuses on the institutional chessboard produced too many mushroom
product varietals causing the red correction queen to lop off many
of their sacred heads. The papers that were designed to make our
chests burst with pride have turned on us as a haunting reminder of
the reality of markets and the cycles that push them in either
direction.
It should be easy to navigate a quality income portfolio through
whatever circumstances, cycles, and scandals come at you, but a
clear head and a clearer understanding of what to expect is
required. Most brokerage firm statements make it difficult to
monitor asset allocation using any methodology, including the
Working Capital Model, and I don't think that it's by chance. Most
income investors expect income securities to have stable market
values. Constant confusion breeds unhappiness, unhappiness foments
change, and the masters of the universe encourage you to fritter
around from mushroom to mushroom in perpetual emotional chaos. To
who's benefit?
It would be wonderful if an investor's monthly statement would
organize his securities based on their class and purpose, but Wall
Street doesn't want such distinctions to be made easily. It would be
great if the institutions would help investors formulate reasonable
expectations about what will happen to the market values of their
securities in varying market place conditions, but that's not likely
to become a reality any time soon. It would spectacular if the media
would produce information and explanation instead of news bites and
sensationalism, but you guessed it--- not much chance of that
either.
Income investing should be easy. How many hookah-smoking
caterpillars have given you the how?
NOTICE: Investment Reference does not recommend
or endorse any products, brokerage firms, CTAs, CPOs or representatives. All
material contained in any article is only the opinion of the person authoring the
article. Investment reference will publish any article submitted as a way of
offering a public forum and a means of exchanges of views and ideas. Investment
Reference also reserves the right to make the final decision on what to publish, and will
not publish anything that it considers offensive, slanderous, or fraudulent.
Investment Reference cannot and will not be held responsible for any information or
content in any articles except those which it authors itself.
Get in touch with us by
email.
THERE IS RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING
FUTURES... LOTS OF IT!!
Email us with questions or comments about
this website.
Copyright 1995 / 2010 Investment Reference,
Inc.
Last modified:
January 01, 2010
|